Tonight we face Chivas in a match that will decide the Western Conference. (Game guide.) Winner takes the conference and home field advantage, with a tie being the same as a win for Chivas. Dynamo will be without key defensive core players with Robinson (red card), Cochrane (yellow accumulation), and Clark (suspension) all out. Bernardo Fallas reports that Dominic Kinnear will use Ianni in the center (natch), move Waibel alongside him, push Mullan to right back (interesting...), with Holden as right midfielder and D-Ro and Mulrooney as the AM and DM, respectively.
Something else to watch: should the Dynamo hold Chivas to 4 or fewer goals tonight, then we set a record for fewest goals conceded in a season (current record: 29) and fewest goals per game conceded in a season (current record: 0.906 goals per game). We currently have conceded 23 goals. Should we allow no more than 27, then we'll have a 0.9 gpg ratio.
Back to the results: While I'm of the opinion that the Dynamo might do better if they don't have the cushy road to the MLS Cup, I'm also of the opinion that winning is always good. Win or lose tonight, though, we can't lose after tonight if we want to reach the MLS Cup. (Technically we could lose one leg of the conference semis and make up the difference in the other leg, but let's not go that route.)
So, if we win tonight, we will play either the Rapids, Fire, Wizards, or Galaxy in the first round of the playoffs next week. If we lose, we face a vengeful FC Dallas in the first round playoff series. I wonder how much Carlo Ruiz would be booed in our home leg of that series.
Go Dynamo!
Saturday, October 20, 2007
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